Large-Load Grid Integrationv1.31
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Reference

Key Numbers#

The figures most frequently cited in this report, with the date each was reported and the body that published it. Values drawn directly from official records are given as published; modelled or derived values are shown as ranges. Where two authorities measure the same quantity on different bases, both are listed rather than reconciled.

MetricValueAs ofSource
ERCOT large-load interconnection queue438 GWJun 2026ERCOT
ERCOT large load approved to energize~9 GWApr 2026ERCOT LLWG
ERCOT observed simultaneous large-load peak~3.7 GWMar 2026ERCOT LLWG
ERCOT all-time system peak85.5 GWAug 2023ERCOT
PJM Base Residual Auction clearing price, 2028/29$325/MW-day (at cap)Jul 2026PJM
PJM capacity cost attributable to data centres40–45% of $47.2B over three auctionsMar 2026Monitoring Analytics (IMM)
Measured capacity-driven bill increase~$10–20/month in affected PJM zones2025–26IEEFA; DC OPC
Largest uncommanded load loss, ERCOT1,560–1,600 MW; 60.235 Hz; 12 min 30 s to recoverDec 2022ERCOT PDCWG
Largest uncommanded load loss, Eastern Interconnection~1,500 MW across 60 delivery pointsJul 2024NERC
ERCOT instantaneous-loss study threshold~2,600 MWSep 2025ERCOT LLWG
Documented ERCOT events above 100 MW26Jan 2023 – Sep 2025ERCOT
US retail electricity sales3,975 TWh2024EIA EPA Table 2.5
US installed capacity, net summer1,230 GW at nameplate; 955 GW excluding wind and solar2024EIA EPA Tables 4.2.A/B
US data-centre consumption176 TWh (LBNL); 183 TWh (IEA)2023; 2024LBNL; IEA
US data-centre consumption, 2030 projection649 TWh reference, 578–664 range (LBNL); 426 TWh (IEA)2030LBNL 2025 Update; IEA
Modelled curtailment-enabled headroom76–98 GW at 0.25–0.5% of annual consumption2025Nicholas Institute, Duke
Demand response cleared in PJM capacity market5,531 → 7,299 MW after ELCC reform2026/27 → 2027/28PJM
FERC show-cause orders to RTOs and ISOsSix; responses due Aug 17, 2026Jun 18, 2026FERC (EL26-67 et seq.)
NERC standards and registration criteria dueDec 31, 2026Directed Jul 16, 2026FERC (RD26-7-000)

Table N1 — Key numbers. Each entry is discussed, sourced and qualified in the section indicated in the References. This page is a locator, not a substitute for the treatment in the text: several of these figures carry material caveats — notably the ERCOT queue, which includes duplicate and speculative requests, and the 2030 consumption projections, on which two careful bodies differ by roughly fifty percent.

Sources: As listed in the final column of each row; each figure is discussed and qualified in the section indicated.

Cite as: Zavadsky, V. (2026). Large-Load Grid Integration: A Primer: The Eight Problems — and the Decade That Frames Them (v1.31). Zenodo. 10.5281/zenodo.21464969
Data current through July 21, 2026. Generated from the same source as the PDF edition.